Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.118050 0.136354 0.156314 0.179666 0.206204 0.235389 0.269884
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.095887 0.121551 0.151955 0.190490 0.237879 0.294094 0.365660
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.075056 0.103510 0.139821 0.189235 0.254362 0.336851 0.448768
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.064493 0.095832 0.138529 0.200343 0.286815 0.402622 0.568413
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.054198 0.086297 0.132739 0.203877 0.308887 0.456718 0.678675
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044394 0.075460 0.123023 0.199809 0.318928 0.494457 0.769665
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.037226 0.067244 0.115673 0.197719 0.330881 0.535369 0.868683
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033909 0.064646 0.116575 0.208346 0.363257 0.609767 1.025197
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030870 0.061934 0.116749 0.217520 0.393949 0.684090 1.188264
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026035 0.055075 0.108665 0.211257 0.397674 0.714623 1.282649
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022635 0.050323 0.103603 0.209508 0.408661 0.757767 1.401313
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019334 0.045164 0.096975 0.203844 0.411666 0.786968 1.497960
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016723 0.041052 0.091917 0.200756 0.419536 0.826324 1.617810
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015150 0.038937 0.090595 0.204906 0.441702 0.893759 1.794724
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012988 0.035057 0.084966 0.199400 0.444072 0.924258 1.905584
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012219 0.034377 0.086222 0.208681 0.477506 1.017317 2.143572
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011055 0.032485 0.084447 0.211035 0.496614 1.083775 2.335168
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009600 0.029545 0.079759 0.206130 0.499476 1.117626 2.464479
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008473 0.027262 0.076301 0.203595 0.507188 1.161951 2.618515
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008132 0.027142 0.078244 0.214293 0.545980 1.274914 2.923902
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007741 0.026799 0.079559 0.223583 0.582418 1.385731 3.233118
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006728 0.024348 0.074893 0.217091 0.580708 1.412893 3.364509
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.006018 0.022702 0.072167 0.215261 0.590039 1.465314 3.555076